Matteo Berrettini vs Alexei Popyrin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Alexei Popyrin slightly edges out Matteo Berrettini with 45.33% of points won compared to Berrettini’s 43.69%.
• When analyzing returns, Popyrin again has a slight advantage; he wins 42.99% of opponents' second serve points, while Berrettini captures 38.31%.
• Both players show similar resilience under pressure, with Popyrin saving 61.90% of breakpoints and Berrettini close behind at 60.56%.
• Over the past year, Berrettini has a slightly better match-winning percentage at 51.43%, compared to Popyrin's 46.34%.
• Does the player’s preferred surface influence your view? Berrettini shines on grass with a 78% win rate, while Popyrin's success is on clay, also at 78%.
• Berrettini's matches are predominantly on the Main tour with a 46.67% win rate. In contrast, Popyrin excels in the Masters series, achieving a 57.89% win rate.
• On direct head-to-head, Berrettini has won twice in three encounters, suggesting a slight advantage in their personal rivalry.
• Regarding match experience in the last year, Berrettini has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 53.34 compared to Popyrin's 85.54, possibly giving him an edge in versatility.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Berrettini has a marginally better record, winning 50% of them in the last year, against Popyrin's 44%.
• Recent performance at the current event could provide additional insights, so upcoming match data should be closely followed.

Editorial Prediction (October 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance statistics, Alexei Popyrin demonstrates a slight edge over Matteo Berrettini in both second serve success and return game efficiency. These factors could give him the upper hand in crucial moments.

While Berrettini has a minor lead in head-to-head matchups and better results against more challenging opposition, Popyrin's current form in high-level competitions and his ability to perform under pressure make this an intriguing contest.

Berrettini's strength on grass doesn't play a role here, and both have comparable pressure-handling abilities. Match experiences suggest a close encounter.

Based on these insights, the upcoming match is likely to be highly competitive but tilted slightly in favor of Alexei Popyrin given his present form and recent statistical advantages.